Posts Tagged ‘ business

The actual credit spread is explained by credit risk

57One typical reason for spread differentials between bonds of the same rating are liquidity considerations, particularly with respect to stress situations. enerally, bonds with a large issue size, issued recently and actively traded by several market makers tend to be the most liquid. Sometimes old bonds with a small issue size, too, trade at rather tight levels. This is often the case for typical “CDO (Collateralized debt obligations) names”, that is bonds that are often included when CDOs are set up. Another reason for wide spread differentials between issuers with similar credit quality is that many market participants are concerned with potential mark-to-market losses. Therefore, rather illiquid and more volatile bonds require a higher spread, even if spread volatility is rather due to market technicals than uncertainty regarding company fundamentals. Consequently, it is natural that credit spreads differ even for bonds and issuers with the same rating.

But more importantly, only a fraction of the actual credit spread is explained by credit risk, which in turn is reflected by the rating.

Average spread increasing as credit quality decreases

1Despite the wide dispersion of credit spreads within the rating buckets the general link between credit spreads and ratings is clear, with average spread increasing as credit quality decreases. However, as it illustrates there are large overlaps between individual rating distributions. Myriad examples can be found to show that market participants often perceive the risk of one company in comparison to another to be completely different, even if both have the same rating. It should be noted that it includes bonds with rather different maturities and coupons.

Altman (1989) and Taylor and Perraudin (2001) have shown the presence of
highly persistent inconsistencies between credit ratings and bond spreads,
even after adjusting for liquidity and potential tax effects.

Focus on credit generating the most profit growth

This means identifying customers with the greatest profit potential, rather than the ones who are most profitable now. Businesses often try to be all things to all people, disregarding the need to retain a focus on the most profitable parts of the market. Customer loyalty may be important, but if the cost of ensuring a customer’s loyalty outweighs the benefits
and revenue of that customer, why bother? Maintaining market share for its own sake is often an unwise approach. If a customer cannot be retained without losing money, then it is better to lose that customer and focus on those that will help improve profitability.

Why ivestors become overconfident

Overconfidence is inevitable in today’s world. As workers increasingly specialize and stay busy, it is impossible for them to have the time and expertise necessary to thoroughly investigate investments and investment advisors. However, many investors do not suffer from overconfidence. In fact, lack of confidence is a bigger issue for many. These include people pleasers who rely on others’ judgments rather than their own and those who suffer from inferiority, confusion, and an inability to handle any complexity. Consider whether you are more likely to make mistakes due to overconfidence or lack of confidence.

Basic budget ingredients

I’ve seen quite a wide variety of budgets over the years, ranging from three or four things written on the back of a cocktail napkin, to high-tech spreadsheets that would make NASA look stupid.

More often than not, they’re either too simple or too complicated to be effectively used. If they are too simple, you lose the ability to understand exactly where your money goes and why. If they are too complex, you overwhelm yourself with data to the point of becoming paralyzed by all your options.

I’d suggest a middle road that starts with our formula for discretionary income. In other words, there are three categories that all budget items fall into: income, fixed expenses, and variable expenses. Within each one of those categories, you will break down your expenditures by company, payee, or store. In other words, you’ll put everything you buy at ABC Supermarket on one line, instead of breaking it down into further categories such as dairy, meats, cleaning supplies, etc.

What budget is and is not

First and foremost, let me assure you that a budget is not a whip that I will encourage you to beat yourself with on a monthly basis. Some people might use it for that, but I’m not convinced it does them any real financial good.

Secondly, a budget is not meant to be something that restricts your fun or cuts out of life the things you enjoy most. While you may need to make some of those choices, and a budget may help you to see where, it does not exist solely for eliminating joy in life.

A budget, when used properly, is the basis of what you’re going to learn about in the next chapter. It’s the foundation for a spending plan, which is a system that takes all the guesswork out of how much to spend on certain things.

A budget, when used properly, helps us decide in advance how much discretionary income we want to have left over at the end of the month. Pair this decision with the structure of an effective spending plan, and I can almost guarantee that you will get yourself out of debt on schedule with your goals.